Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Arpoador seasonal overview

Arpoador, Brazil, offers relatively consistent surf year-round, but the best conditions typically occur from February to August. During these months, ground swell percentages rise significantly, peaking in May (59%) and remaining strong through June and July (59% and 51%, respectively). Ground swells tend to produce cleaner, more organized waves compared to wind swells, which dominate the rest of the year. The mean swell size also increases during this period, averaging 1.1m to 1.3m, providing a good balance of power and rideability. Wind conditions are most favorable from January to June, with the highest likelihood of good winds in February (55%) and a steady decline from July onward. September through November sees the worst wind conditions, with onshore winds becoming more frequent (59-63% bad winds). While summer months (December-January) have smaller swell sizes (0.9m-1.0m) and higher wind swell influence, they still offer surfable waves, particularly when the ground swell component is present. For the most reliable surf with cleaner conditions, mid-year months (May-July) stand out due to the strong ground swell presence and manageable wind probabilities. However, those seeking smaller waves can still find opportunities in the shoulder seasons, though with greater variability in wind quality.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Arpoador in January

January at Arpoador offers generally favorable surfing conditions with an average swell height of 0.9m and a solid period of 9.6s, producing well-organized waves. The swell is predominantly from the S, SSE, and SE directions, with a significant portion (53%) of the wind being ideal for surfing—typically light to moderate offshore or cross-shore breezes. Waves in the 0.5-1.5m range are most common, making it suitable for intermediate to advanced surfers, though larger sets up to 2.5m occasionally roll through with enough power for more experienced riders. Wind speeds mostly stay below 20kph, reducing chop, but occasional stronger ESE or SE winds can create less favorable conditions. Overall, January delivers consistent, manageable waves with good shape, especially when winds align favorably.

Average Spot conditions at Arpoador in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Arpoador during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Arpoador for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Arpoador for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Arpoador.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size