Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Black Rock seasonal overview

Black Rock, Australia, is primarily a windswell-dominated spot, with ground swells playing a minor role throughout the year. The best months for surfing here are from February to April, when ground swell percentages are slightly higher (19-27%) compared to other months, and wind conditions are relatively better (27% good winds in February and March, 24% in April). The mean swell size during this period hovers around 1.6-1.7m, offering decent surfable waves. Wind conditions deteriorate significantly from May to August, with only 13-18% favorable wind days, making these months less ideal due to frequent onshore and cross-shore winds. The swell size remains consistent year-round (1.5-1.7m), but the low ground swell contribution and poor wind conditions outside the early-year window limit quality surfing opportunities. September to December sees a return of slightly better wind stats (19-25%), but the dominance of windswell (81-87%) and minimal ground swell reduce wave quality. Overall, late summer and early autumn (February-April) provide the most balanced conditions with a modest increase in ground swell and marginally better wind alignment. Surfers should prioritize this window for cleaner, more reliable waves, though even then, windswell remains the primary energy source.

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Conditions at Black Rock in July

July at Black Rock offers fairly consistent surf, though conditions are far from perfect. The average swell height sits at 1.6m with a decent period of 9.4s, providing some solid, well-formed waves. Swells predominantly come from the S-SE quadrant, with the SSE and S directions delivering the most rideable waves—especially in the 1-2.5m range. However, larger swells (over 2.5m) are rare, limiting the chance for bigger, more powerful sessions. Wind is a mixed bag: only 13% of the time is it ideal (likely light offshore breezes). Southwest and westerly winds dominate, often blowing at 10-30kph, which can create choppy or cross-shore conditions. Mornings may see cleaner waves before winds pick up. Overall, expect variable surf with some good days, but be prepared for inconsistent winds and moderate swell energy. Intermediate to advanced surfers will find the most opportunities, though patience is key.

Average Spot conditions at Black Rock in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Black Rock during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Black Rock for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Black Rock for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Black Rock.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size