Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Broken Head seasonal overview

Broken Head in Australia offers surfable conditions year-round, but the best months for surfing generally fall between March and August. During this period, the swell quality improves with a higher percentage of ground swell (peaking at 32% in July) compared to wind swell, which dominates the rest of the year. The mean swell size remains relatively consistent, averaging around 1.5m to 1.6m, providing reliable waves without being overly large. Wind conditions also become more favorable from March onward, with the likelihood of good winds increasing to around 20% in March and peaking at 38% in June. The worst wind conditions decrease from 80% in March to 62% in June, making mid-year the most reliable time for clean surf. Outside this window, particularly from September to February, wind conditions deteriorate, with bad winds occurring over 75% of the time, and swells are predominantly wind-driven, reducing wave quality. While summer months like December and January still see decent swell size (1.4m to 1.5m), the high percentage of wind swell (over 80%) and poor wind conditions (over 84%) make them less ideal for surfing. Overall, late autumn to early winter (May to July) stands out as the prime period, offering the best balance of ground swell, manageable wind conditions, and consistent wave height.

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Conditions at Broken Head in September

September at Broken Head delivers a mix of surfable conditions with an average swell height of 1.4m and a decent period of 8.9s, indicating generally clean, well-spaced waves. The predominant swell directions are from the SSE, E, and ESE, contributing to the most consistent wave heights in the 1-2.5m range—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. SSE swells dominate the larger end of the scale (1.5-2.5m), offering punchier waves, while ENE/NE swells bring smaller but cleaner conditions. Wind quality is marginal, with only 25% of days providing ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds (typically ENE to E), while the rest are often onshore (S/SSE) or variable, potentially creating choppier surfaces. Stronger winds (20-30kph+) from the north and south sectors can spoil conditions, though lighter winds (10-20kph) from the east or NE provide the best grooming. Expect a mix of days with rideable peaks and occasional mushy or blown-out sessions, but when the wind cooperates, the spot can offer quality waves with decent power and shape. Advanced surfers will find the best opportunities on SSE swells with lighter ENE winds.

Average Spot conditions at Broken Head in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Broken Head during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Broken Head for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Broken Head for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Broken Head.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size