Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Costa da Caparica seasonal overview

Costa da Caparica in Portugal offers consistent surf conditions year-round, though the best months for surfers generally fall between October and March. During this period, ground swell dominates (74–91% of the time), providing cleaner, more powerful waves with mean swell sizes ranging from 1.5m to 2.1m. Winter months, particularly December to February, bring the largest swells (2.0m+), but wind conditions are less favorable, with bad winds occurring 62–64% of the time, often due to onshore winds from northerly or westerly systems. The shoulder seasons of October–November and March offer a good balance, with solid ground swell (63–84%) and slightly improved wind stats (35–36% good winds). April and September can still deliver decent sessions, though ground swell drops (46–64%) and wind conditions worsen (71–65% bad winds). From May to August, surf quality declines significantly—swell size drops below 1.3m, wind swell dominates (58–82%), and bad wind conditions peak (68–74%). While summer sees smaller, choppier waves, it can still be surfable for beginners or longboarders. For intermediate to advanced surfers seeking quality rides, the autumn and winter months are ideal despite wind challenges, while spring and summer are better suited for casual surfing in less demanding conditions.

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Conditions at Costa da Caparica in October

October at Costa da Caparica offers solid surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.5m and a favorable period of 11.3s, ensuring well-formed waves with good energy. The majority of swell comes from the WNW and NW directions, generating surfable waves (1-2.5m) around 60% of the time, with larger sets (2m+) occurring roughly 15% of the month. Cross-shore or light offshore winds—ideal for surfing—are present 36% of the time, mostly from northerly quadrants (N, NW), while stronger onshore SW winds can occasionally disrupt conditions. The spot handles mid-sized swells best, with consistency leaning toward the 1-2m range, making it reliable for intermediate to advanced surfers. Expect a mix of playful peaks and occasional overhead days, though wind conditions will be the deciding factor—monitor forecasts for those cleaner NNW/NW wind windows.

Average Spot conditions at Costa da Caparica in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Costa da Caparica during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Costa da Caparica for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Costa da Caparica for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Costa da Caparica.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size