Express Point - surf spot statistics

Express Point, Australia, offers consistent surf year-round, with the best conditions typically found from April through September. During these months, ground swell dominates (84-88%), providing clean, powerful waves with minimal wind interference. The mean swell size peaks at 1.9m in August and September, making late winter and early spring the prime time for surfers seeking larger, more reliable waves. Wind conditions improve slightly from April to June, with good winds occurring around 23-24% of the time, though onshore winds still prevail (76-77%). From July onward, wind quality dips slightly, but the swell remains strong and well-organized, particularly in August and September when ground swell frequency is highest (88%). The summer months (December-February) see a drop in swell quality, with higher wind swell influence (20-26%) and fewer favorable wind days (15-17%), leading to choppier, less predictable conditions. March and November act as transitional periods, where ground swell remains fairly consistent (80-83%), but wind conditions are less reliable. Overall, mid-autumn to early spring (April-September) delivers the most surfable days with cleaner waves, bigger swells, and a better chance of offshore winds, making it the optimal window for experienced surfers at Express Point.

March at Express Point delivers fairly consistent surf with an average swell height of 1.5m and a solid period of 12.3s, suggesting well-formed, powerful waves. The dominant swell direction is SW (26.5% of waves in the 1-1.5m range), which aligns nicely with the break, producing clean, rideable conditions. SSW and WSW swells also contribute, offering a mix of sizes, with 14.8% of SW swells reaching 1.5-2m and 4.8% hitting 2-2.5m—ideal for advanced surfers. However, wind is a limiting factor, with only 19% of days providing ideal offshore conditions. Easterly and northeasterly winds (common in March) can create chop, particularly when speeds exceed 20kph (frequent in ENE-E directions). The best windows are likely during lighter SW or SSW winds, which are less frequent but cleaner. Overall, expect punchy, mid-sized waves with occasional larger sets, but wind quality will dictate session quality—patience pays off for those scoring the right days.