Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Express Point seasonal overview

Express Point, Australia, offers consistent surf year-round, with the best conditions typically found from April through September. During these months, ground swell dominates (84-88%), providing clean, powerful waves with minimal wind interference. The mean swell size peaks at 1.9m in August and September, making late winter and early spring the prime time for surfers seeking larger, more reliable waves. Wind conditions improve slightly from April to June, with good winds occurring around 23-24% of the time, though onshore winds still prevail (76-77%). From July onward, wind quality dips slightly, but the swell remains strong and well-organized, particularly in August and September when ground swell frequency is highest (88%). The summer months (December-February) see a drop in swell quality, with higher wind swell influence (20-26%) and fewer favorable wind days (15-17%), leading to choppier, less predictable conditions. March and November act as transitional periods, where ground swell remains fairly consistent (80-83%), but wind conditions are less reliable. Overall, mid-autumn to early spring (April-September) delivers the most surfable days with cleaner waves, bigger swells, and a better chance of offshore winds, making it the optimal window for experienced surfers at Express Point.

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Conditions at Express Point in October

October at Express Point offers solid surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.7m and a strong period of 12.7s, indicating well-formed, powerful waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the SW and SSW, contributing to most of the rideable waves, particularly in the 1–2.5m range. These swells are clean and consistent, with a significant portion (21.67%) arriving from the SW at 1–1.5m, while larger sets (15.35%) come in at 1.5–2m, offering punchy, high-quality walls when they hit the reef or sandbars. Wind conditions are less favorable, with only 18% of days providing ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds. The majority of winds come from the W to SW, often blowing at 20–40kph, which can create choppy or bumpy conditions. However, early mornings may see lighter winds, especially from the SE to SSE, which can help groom the waves. Surfers should watch for W or WSW winds, which are the most disruptive, but when conditions align, October delivers powerful, well-shaped waves, best suited for intermediate to advanced riders.

Average Spot conditions at Express Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Express Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Express Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Express Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Express Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size