Hickory Bay - surf spot statistics

Hickory Bay in New Zealand offers consistent swell year-round, with no months recording zero swell, making it a reliable surf spot. The best conditions generally occur from April to July when the mean swell size peaks between 2.1m and 2.3m. During these months, ground swell dominates (60-62% in April-May), providing cleaner and more organized waves compared to wind swell. Wind conditions improve slightly in these months, with good wind days increasing to 25-29%, though onshore winds still prevail (71-75% bad conditions). The worst wind conditions are in summer (January-February and December), where bad winds exceed 80%. From August onwards, swell size gradually decreases, though September-October still offers decent waves around 2.0m. Summer months (December-February) see smaller swells (1.8-1.9m) and the highest wind swell influence (54-66%), resulting in choppier conditions. Overall, mid-autumn to mid-winter (April-July) is the prime window for surfers seeking larger, cleaner waves at Hickory Bay, with May standing out as the peak month thanks to strong ground swell (62%) and slightly improved wind odds (27% good).

Hickory Bay in May offers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.2m and a solid 11.2s period, indicating powerful, well-spaced waves. The dominant swell directions are from the SSW, S, and SE, producing the most rideable conditions, especially in the 1.5-2.5m range (SSW swells contribute significantly, with 7.9% at 1.5-2m and 7.9% at 2-2.5m). Winds are a mixed bag—only 27% are ideal for surfing, typically light offshore (ENE to ESE) early in the day. However, stronger onshore winds from the N to SSW are common, particularly in the 10-30kph range, which can create choppy conditions. For advanced surfers, May delivers powerful, well-shaped waves, particularly on SSW swells, but timing sessions around lighter winds is key for clean faces. Bigger days (over 2.5m) are rare but possible, mostly from the SSW. A wetsuit is essential in New Zealand’s autumn chill. Overall, it’s a reliable month for experienced surfers who can handle variable winds and punchy conditions.