Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Ilha dos Lobos seasonal overview

Ilha dos Lobos in Brazil offers varying surf conditions throughout the year, with the best months typically aligning with the Southern Hemisphere’s winter and early spring. The spot is predominantly wind swell-driven, with ground swells peaking between May and August, reaching up to 38% occurrence. During these months, the mean swell size hovers around 1.5–1.7m, providing more consistent and higher-quality waves, particularly from May to July. Wind conditions, however, are less favorable, with good winds only present around 26–28% of the time in mid-year months, though still better than the later part of the year. September onward sees a sharp decline in favorable winds, dropping to just 14%, making late-season sessions more challenging despite the decent swell persistence. Early in the year, from January to April, wind swells dominate (85–70%), but the smaller average size (1.3–1.5m) and poorer wind conditions (79–77% bad winds) limit optimal surfing windows. The best balance between swell quality and tolerable winds occurs from May to July, when ground swells are more frequent, wave height is reliable, and the chance of rideable conditions peaks despite the still-suboptimal wind stats. Surfers should target this period for the most consistent sessions, though shoulder months like April and August can also deliver decent waves, especially when wind luck aligns.

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Conditions at Ilha dos Lobos in January

January at Ilha dos Lobos offers decent surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.4m and a favorable period of 8.3s, providing consistent and well-formed waves. The swell direction is primarily from the ENE to SSE range, with the highest frequency of rideable waves (1-2.5m) coming from the E and ESE directions. Wind conditions are variable, but only 21% of the time are ideal (light offshore or cross-shore), predominantly when winds are from the W to NNW. However, NE to ENE winds—which are more frequent—can create onshore chop, reducing wave quality. Surfers should watch for days with E/ESE swells and lighter WNW-NNW winds for the best sessions. While not epic, January delivers manageable waves for intermediate to advanced surfers, with occasional clean conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Ilha dos Lobos in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ilha dos Lobos during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ilha dos Lobos for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ilha dos Lobos for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ilha dos Lobos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size