Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Melkbosstrand seasonal overview

Melkbosstrand in South Africa is a spot with fairly consistent year-round swell, predominantly ground swell, which makes it reliable for surfers. The best conditions typically occur from May to August when the mean swell size peaks at around 3.1m in June and July, offering the most powerful and cleanest waves. During these months, the ground swell dominates (above 90%), ensuring quality wave energy, though wind conditions remain challenging (74-75% bad wind days). That said, the spot still sees surfable waves frequently due to the strong swell presence. Shoulder months like April and September provide slightly better wind conditions (22% and 17% good wind days respectively) while maintaining solid swell size (2.5-2.8m). The summer months (December-February) have smaller waves (2.4m) and far fewer favorable wind days (10-13%), making them less ideal for quality surfing. Overall, winter (May-August) delivers the biggest and most consistent surf, but early season (April) and late season (September) can offer a decent balance between swell size and slightly improved winds.

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Conditions at Melkbosstrand in November

November at Melkbosstrand delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.4m and a solid period of 11.7s, offering powerful, well-formed waves. Swell direction is predominantly from the SW to SSW (peaking at 14.68% in the 2-2.5m range for SW), ensuring clean, organized waves with good energy. Cross-shore and light onshore winds are common, but ideal offshore winds (ESE-SE) occur only 11% of the time, which can create excellent conditions when they align. Wind speeds are often moderate (10-30kph), but stronger gusts from the SSE-SSW (peaking at 8.23% in 30-40kph) may occasionally disrupt conditions. Expect a mix of mid-sized and larger waves, with the best sessions likely during SW swells paired with lighter ESE winds. While wind consistency isn’t perfect, the swell reliability makes it a worthwhile month for experienced surfers.

Average Spot conditions at Melkbosstrand in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Melkbosstrand during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Melkbosstrand for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Melkbosstrand for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Melkbosstrand.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size