Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Oakura Beach seasonal overview

Oakura Beach, New Zealand, offers consistent surf throughout the year, with ground swell dominating the wave energy (67–79% annually) and no months registering flat conditions. The best months for surfing are typically from April to August, when swell size averages 2.1–2.5 meters, providing powerful and reliable waves ideal for experienced surfers. Ground swell percentages remain high during this period (70–79%), ensuring cleaner, more organized waves. However, wind conditions are generally unfavorable year-round, with good winds occurring only 11–19% of the time. The worst wind conditions peak in September to December (88–89% bad winds), making offshore winds rare. Swell size drops slightly in summer (December–February, 1.8–1.9m), but wind conditions remain poor (81–86% bad winds). For surfers prioritizing wave quality, late autumn to early winter (May–August) is optimal despite the challenging winds, as the larger, ground-swell-driven waves outweigh the wind drawbacks. Late spring (November) sees a slight drop in swell size and persistently bad winds, making it less ideal. Overall, Oakura Beach suits surfers comfortable with onshore winds, with the most consistent and sizable waves arriving in the cooler months.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Oakura Beach in January

January at Oakura Beach offers solid surf conditions with a mix of swell sizes and varying wind influences. The average swell height is 1.9m with a healthy 11.6s period, providing good energy for surfing. The predominant swell directions are WSW (17.35% in the 1-1.5m range and 17.48% in the 1.5-2m range) and SW, which tend to produce well-organized waves. Larger swells (2m+) are less frequent but still occur, mainly from the WSW and SSE directions, contributing to punchier conditions. Wind is a limiting factor, with only 14% of days offering ideal surfable conditions. The most problematic winds come from the W to NW sectors, which are often strong (20-40kph) and can create chop. However, lighter NNE to SE winds occasionally provide cleaner surfaces. Surfers can expect a mix of mid-sized, rideable swells but should monitor wind forecasts closely for optimal sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Oakura Beach in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Oakura Beach during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Oakura Beach for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Oakura Beach for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Oakura Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size