Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Peahi-Jaws seasonal overview

Peahi (Jaws) is a world-class big-wave surf spot, heavily dependent on powerful ground swells and favorable winds. The best conditions occur during the winter months, particularly from December to February, when ground swell dominates (71-82%) with mean swell sizes averaging 2.5-2.6m, providing the massive, clean waves Jaws is known for. Wind conditions, however, are challenging year-round, with only 23-30% of days offering good offshore or light winds in peak swell season. Winter months still have the best balance, despite high percentages of unfavorable winds (70-77%). From March onward, ground swell frequency declines, with wind swell becoming dominant by April, leading to smaller, less consistent waves (1.6-2.1m). Summer (June-August) sees the worst conditions, with minimal ground swell (10-12%), mostly wind chop, and poor wind patterns (81-83% bad winds). A slight improvement occurs in September-October as ground swell returns (28-51%), but wave size remains modest (1.6-1.9m). For expert surfers targeting Jaws' legendary barrels, the ideal window is December-February, when the largest, cleanest ground swells arrive, despite frequent onshore winds requiring patience for perfect days. The rest of the year is either too small or too wind-affected for Jaws to truly awaken.

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Conditions at Peahi-Jaws in October

October at Peahi (Jaws) delivers prime big-wave conditions, with an average swell height of 1.9m and a powerful 10.9s period, indicating consistent, well-spaced energy. The dominant swell direction is from the north-northwest (NNW), contributing 14.63% of waves in the critical 1.5-2m range and 7.95% in the 2-2.5m range—ideal for advanced surfers seeking sizable, clean walls. ENE and NW swells also bring notable energy, particularly in the 1.5-2.5m range. Wind conditions are less favorable overall, with only 28% of days offering ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds (typically from the E-ENE at 10-20kph). However, strong onshore winds (20-50kph) from the E-ESE are common, creating choppy or unruly surf during 24-30% of the month. For experienced surfers, October is a high-risk, high-reward window: swells are powerful and well-organized, but wind and wave consistency require patience. Sessions are best timed around NNW swells paired with lighter ENE winds—expect heavy, fast drops and demanding paddle-outs.

Average Spot conditions at Peahi-Jaws in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Peahi-Jaws during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Peahi-Jaws for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Peahi-Jaws for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Peahi-Jaws.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size