Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Rockaway-Manzanita seasonal overview

Rockaway-Manzanita in the United States offers varying surf conditions throughout the year, with distinct seasonal patterns. The best months for surfing are typically winter and early spring, particularly from November through February. During these months, ground swells dominate, averaging 60-72% of the time, with mean swell heights ranging from 1.4 to 1.6 meters. These conditions provide consistent and sizable waves, making it ideal for experienced surfers. However, wind conditions during this period are often unfavorable, with bad winds occurring 77-79% of the time, which can create choppy or messy waves. The late fall months (October and November) and early spring (March) offer a balance of decent ground swells (47-64%) and slightly better wind conditions compared to mid-winter, though wind quality remains challenging. Summer months (May through August) are the least favorable, with minimal ground swells (9-25%) and smaller waves (0.6-0.8 meters), compounded by consistently poor wind conditions (86-88% bad winds). September and October mark the transition back to better surf, with increasing ground swells and marginal improvements in wind quality. For the most reliable waves, surfers should target late fall and winter, accepting the likelihood of less-than-ideal winds, while summer is best avoided unless seeking very small, wind-affected conditions.

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Conditions at Rockaway-Manzanita in October

October at Rockaway-Manzanita offers fairly consistent surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.1m and a solid period of 11.9s, indicating clean, well-formed waves. The dominant swell direction is WNW, contributing the highest percentage of rides, particularly in the 0.5-1.5m range, with occasional larger sets up to 2.5m. WSW swells also play a notable role, though less powerful. Wind conditions are less favorable overall, with only 23% of the time providing ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds for surfing. The most problematic winds come from the N to SE quadrants, often bringing onshore or side-shore chop, particularly at speeds over 20kph. However, when winds align from the W or NW, cleaner conditions prevail. Surfers can expect a mix of smaller, rideable days and occasional punchier sessions, especially when WNW swells combine with lighter winds. It’s a month of variability, but patience pays off with some quality waves.

Average Spot conditions at Rockaway-Manzanita in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Rockaway-Manzanita during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Rockaway-Manzanita for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Rockaway-Manzanita for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Rockaway-Manzanita.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size