Wilderness - surf spot statistics

Wilderness, South Africa, offers consistent surf year-round, but the best conditions typically occur between April and August. During these months, ground swell dominates (62-72% probability), providing cleaner, more organized waves compared to wind swell, which is less favorable. Mean swell size is also most reliable in this period, averaging 2.2-2.4m, with June and July seeing the largest waves (2.3-2.4m). Wind conditions improve significantly from May to July, with good winds occurring 27-31% of the time—still not ideal, but better than other months when bad winds dominate (69-86% probability). The worst months for surfing are January, February, October, November, and December due to higher wind swell influence (53-62%) and poor wind conditions (81-86% bad winds). Swell size drops slightly in these periods (2.0-2.2m) with less ground swell contribution. March and September offer transitional conditions, with March slightly better due to higher ground swell likelihood (56%) and marginally improved winds. Overall, mid-autumn to mid-winter (April-August) is prime for experienced surfers seeking quality waves, despite still challenging wind patterns. For those prioritizing cleaner conditions, June and July stand out, though patience with wind is required.

May in Wilderness, South Africa, offers solid surf conditions with an average swell height of 2.2m and a strong swell period of 11.6s, indicating powerful, well-formed waves. The dominant swell direction is from the SSW, with a significant portion of waves in the 1.5-2.5m range (16.28% for 1.5-2m and 12.50% for 2-2.5m), providing consistent, rideable surf. Larger swells over 2.5m are less frequent but still present (1.05%), adding variety for advanced surfers. Wind conditions are favorable for surfing 27% of the time, with the worst winds typically coming from the NNE and NE, which can bring onshore or cross-shore gusts. The best conditions arise when winds are light or offshore, predominantly from the E to SE sectors. Overall, May delivers reliable waves with good energy, though wind quality is inconsistent—early mornings or protected spots may offer cleaner conditions. Experienced surfers will find plenty of opportunities, but patience with wind shifts is key.