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Bells Beach • Statistics for October

Conditions at Bells Beach in October

October: A Shoulder to the Wind

October is a true shoulder month at Bells. The average swell height remains healthy at 1.3m (4ft), and the average period is still solid at 12.3 seconds. SW swell continues to dominate at 51.5%, with SSW at 27.5% and WSW at 5.9%, so the winter groundswell machinery has not completely shut down. The 1-1.5m range is the largest swell class, but there are still notable 1.5-2m and 2-2.5m pulses from the SW.

Ideal offshore wind drops to 38%, as the spring pattern brings more E to SE sea breeze days, rain systems, and changing pressure gradients. W and WNW winds are still present at 11.7% and 11.4%, and NNW adds 8.3%, giving early-morning clean windows. Water temperature begins to rise from the winter low at 14.2°C, air temperatures warm to 13.3°C and precipitation averages 2.20 mm/day. The windows are less consistent than mid-winter, but the right combination of long-period SW swell and NW offshore wind still produces excellent Bells waves.

Average Spot conditions at Bells Beach in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bells Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bells Beach for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bells Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bells Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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