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Cat Bay • Statistics for July

Conditions at Cat Bay in July

July: Midwinter Energy And North Wind Woes

July is statistically the worst month for clean surf at Cat Bay, with ideal wind conditions at only 17%. The ocean, however, is not small: average swell height jumps to 1.6m (5.2ft) at 12.6s, and nearly 40% of the total swell distribution sits in the 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) range. WSW becomes the second-biggest swell source at 21.2%, behind SW at 33.6%, and NW/NNW swell reaches 5.1% each, giving some real northwest-window energy. But the wind signal is brutal. NNW blows 25.6% of the time, NW adds 11.4%, WNW 10.5%, and W 7.5%, combining to blow out most sessions. The water is winter-cold at 13.4°C and air temperatures average only 11.4°C. This is a month for surfers chasing heavy, raw winter swells with a serious offshore-wind gamble.

Average Spot conditions at Cat Bay in July

Swell history for July

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for July

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cat Bay during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cat Bay for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cat Bay for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cat Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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