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Conditions at Merimbula Bar in October
October: Wobbling Shoulder
October holds onto winter's swell supply, but the consistency frays around the edges. S (12.5%) and SSW (13.2%) still lead the pack, with the favourable SE-SSW total around 43%, but NE energy is back to 14.3% and the average period has shortened to 8.3s. The Bar sees more mixed sessions - solid lines from the south one moment, bumpy NE windswell the next.
Ideal wind falls to 28%, and onshore flow from SSW (13.0%) and S (7.5%) is on the rise. Warmer days bring afternoon seabreezes and spring instability, while water temps start to climb from a cool 15.7°C and air averages 15.2°C. Rainfall nudges up to 2.18mm/day. October is about timing the frontal cycle and scoring the first few days after each onshore blow.
Average Spot conditions at Merimbula Bar in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Merimbula Bar during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Merimbula Bar for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Merimbula Bar for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Merimbula Bar.