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Conditions at Sao Conrado in October
October: Tricky Spring Winds, Still Plenty of Grunt
October is the classic spring shoulder month: there is still quality swell around, but you have to work harder to find it. Average heights sit at around 4ft (1.3m) with an average period of 10.0s, and ideal winds fall to 37%, the lowest of the year. The swell direction remains favourable with SSE 26%, S 22%, SE 21% and ESE 19%, but the energy is not as consistently long-period or as cleanly groomed. E/ENE winds dominate more than 38% of the time, bringing cross-shore chop to the south-facing beach. The best windows are early morning or when a frontal passage swings the wind into the N/NNW quadrant and cleans up a fresh S/SSE groundswell. Air temps rise to 22.7°C, rain increases to 3.51mm/day, and water temp hits the seasonal low of 20.6°C. Surf on the right days and October still offers solid, punchy waves, but quality is more hit-or-miss.
Average Spot conditions at Sao Conrado in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Sao Conrado during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Sao Conrado for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Sao Conrado for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Sao Conrado.