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Conditions at Kincardine in February
February: Frozen Rules, Fewer Windows
February remains in the winter sweet spot for raw wave energy, averaging around 3.5ft (1.1m) at 4.8s, but the percentage of ideal surf wind drops to just 2%. The swell distribution is still excellent for the spot's orientation, with NNW (18.0%), NW (12.4%), WNW (8.1%) and W (7.3%) all well represented. However, the wind distribution is loaded with onshore northwesterlies and north-northwesterlies. At times, expanding lake ice kills the fetch and kills the surf entirely. Air temperatures bottom out at an average of -3.5°C, precipitation is 1.67 mm/day, and water temperatures remain locked near the freezing point.
This is a month for highly selective surfers. If you see a day with west-northwest swell wrapping into the beach and a light east/southeast breeze under a clear Arctic high, the reward is worth the sting. Otherwise, February at Kincardine is mostly a shoulder-checking month with only 2% ideal surf wind.
Average Spot conditions at Kincardine in February
Swell history for February
Wind history for February
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kincardine during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kincardine for your next trip in February.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kincardine for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kincardine.