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Conditions at Wickaninnish in October
October: The North Pacific Roars Back to Life
The North Pacific storm track switches back on in October, and Wickaninnish starts to see serious surf again. Average swell height jumps to 1.5m (5ft), and the average period stretches to 11.3s. Swell direction stays heavily in the optimal W and WSW window-W (37.2%), WSW (33.2%), plus SW (12.8%) and SSW (5.9%)-with the bulk of waves now in the 1 to 2m range and a growing share of 2m-plus sets. This is proper autumn groundswell, carrying the first real intensity of the season.
Wind quality follows suit. Ideal offshore flow climbs back to 32%, and although the pre-frontal ESE and SE winds are still common, there are frequent post-frontal east and northeast outflow windows that groom the swell beautifully. Air temperature averages 10.2°C, water temperature is 11.6°C, and precipitation rises to 6.85mm per day. This is the month when the beach changes from summer cruise mode to winter wave-chasing mode.
Average Spot conditions at Wickaninnish in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Wickaninnish during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Wickaninnish for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Wickaninnish for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Wickaninnish.