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Brandon Bay • Statistics for October

Conditions at Brandon Bay in October

October: The Atlantic Roars Back

October is a true turning point for Brandon Bay. The average swell jumps to 4.5ft (1.4m) and period reaches 11.0 seconds, while the percentage of 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) surf starts to climb. The waverose is filled with WNW (26.9%), W (25.5%), WSW (13.9%) and NW (13.4%) - a classic autumn mix for this southwest-facing beach. The Icelandic Low strengthens and the storm track shifts south, generating pulses of long-period W and WSW groundswell that arrive at the Irish coast. Onshore winds remain common, with SW (10.4%) and SSW (10.3%) leading, but ideal offshore flow holds at 25 percent and the longer period can override some of the chop. Water temperature is 13.4°C, air 12.1°C, rainfall 3.93 mm/day. This is the month to start charging; October will put the winter stoke back in your system.

Average Spot conditions at Brandon Bay in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Brandon Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Brandon Bay for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Brandon Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Brandon Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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