Conditions at Coke's in July
July: Southern Ocean Groundswell Finally Reaches the Atolls
July is where Coke's starts to come alive. The equatorial fetch of the southwest monsoon and the mature Southern Ocean storm track combine to push average swell heights to 1.2m and period up to 8.8s - the punchy-to-powerful range. More importantly, swell direction swings south. S and SSW each contribute around 18%, and SSE adds another 3.6%. That puts roughly 40% of the spectrum in the ideal SE-S-SSW window, with most of the rest in the cross-shore SW/WSW/W quadrant that still wraps reasonably well onto an SSE-facing reef.
Wind remains the weak link. W and WNW dominate at just over 50%, with WSW another 18%. Yet these are not the destructive dead-onshore winds that kill other spots; they are cross-shore and cross-offshore, and the ideal wind score recovers to 34%. Rain is heavy at 5.63mm per day and it is relentlessly warm - air 27.8°C, water 29.1°C. When a mid-month Southern Ocean low sends a long-period S/SSW pulse, Coke's can deliver some of the year's best barrels, even if the surface is a little bumpy.
Average Spot conditions at Coke's in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Coke's during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Coke's for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Coke's for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Coke's.