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Conditions at Bogan River in October
October: Spring Storm Roulette
October is one of the most unreliable months of the year for surf quality at Bogan River. The swell statistics look fantastic: 1.9m average height, 12.7s period, and 80% of the energy arriving from the SW-WNW window, with a high proportion of 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) waves. If you only read the numbers, you would think it is firing.
But the wind is the great equaliser. Only 16% of the time does the wind blow from the offshore NE/ENE/E/ESE quadrant-near the lowest point of the year-while onshore SW-WNW winds dominate 49% of the time. That means empty, wind-blown beaches more often than not. Still, when a strong high pressure system parks over the Tasman Sea and generates offshore ENE flow, the reward is some of the biggest, most powerful surf of the spring. Water temp perks up to 15.7°C, air to 14.4°C, and rain drops to 2.83mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Bogan River in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bogan River during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bogan River for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bogan River for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bogan River.