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Fitzroy Beach • Statistics for October

Conditions at Fitzroy Beach in October

October: Frustration and Potential in Equal Measure

October is the hardest-working surfer's month. The swell supply is still substantial - 2.1m (7ft) at 11.9s - and WSW/W swells are everywhere, but the offshore wind percentage bottoms out at 15 percent, the worst of the year. Springtime lows tracking across the Tasman Sea tighten the pressure gradient and generate strong, onshore W/NW winds that ruin many waves. The good news? When a large high builds in the Tasman and sets up an ESE/SE flow, Fitzroy turns into a punchy, long-period machine. You have to be selective, patient, and willing to drop everything for a short forecast window. Water temp sits near 14.5°C (58°F) and rain is moderate. October will not hand you waves, but it will reward storm-watchers who can read the charts.

Average Spot conditions at Fitzroy Beach in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Fitzroy Beach during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Fitzroy Beach for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Fitzroy Beach for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Fitzroy Beach.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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