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Conditions at Hickory Bay in October
October: Spring Swell With More Wind
October is a classic spring shoulder month. The Southern Ocean is still active, producing an average swell height of 1.7m (5.6ft) and a 10.5s period, but the wind becomes less cooperative. Ideal surfing wind drops to 36%, while NE/NNE winds together make up 24.1% of the total wind, and the E/ESE/SE/SSE onshore component climbs back to 12.2%. Swell direction shifts toward the S/SSW sector, which totals over 44% of the energy, while the optimum E/ESE/SE/SSE window slips to about 30%. This means more size but fewer days with both size and clean texture. Still, when a low-pressure system tracks along the sub-Antarctic front and a W/NW flow builds behind it, Hickory Bay can offer rewarding late-season waves. Water temps rise to 11.3°C and air temp averages 10.7°C.
Average Spot conditions at Hickory Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Hickory Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Hickory Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Hickory Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Hickory Bay.