Conditions at Raglan in October
October: Maximum Storm Swell, Minimum Clean Winds
October is the most frustrating month at Raglan. The swell is doing its job - average height holds at 2.2m (7ft) with 12.3s period, and WSW (34.3%) plus SW (15.3%) keep pumping in long-period groundswell. Yet ideal wind frequency bottoms out at just 16%, the lowest of the year. Strong W/NW/NNW flows (over 30% collectively) tend to accompany the same storms that generate the swell, leaving the line-up blown out as often as it is clean. There are still gems: deep Tasman lows that track south of the country pull in offshore SSW/SW winds before the next front arrives. But you will need patience and a flexible schedule. Water warms slightly to 15.2°C, air averages 13.1°C, and rain drops to 2.95mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Raglan in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Raglan during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Raglan for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Raglan for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Raglan.