Conditions at Vanimo in October
October: The Long-Period Return
October is where the season turns back on. Average swell height rises to 0.9m (3ft) and, more importantly, the average period jumps to 10.4s - back into powerful long-period territory. NNE leads the swell distribution at 43.1%, with NE at 25%, N at 15.6% and NNW at 12.6%. More pulses are reaching the 1-1.5m (3-5ft) range, and the longer period breathes life into the reefs.
Ideal winds improve to 50% as the trades begin to loosen their grip. October is also the driest month, with rainfall down to 4.96mm/day, making for sunny, tropical surf days. Water temperature sits at 29.5°C, and the first legitimately good swells of the approaching Northwest Monsoon start showing up.
Average Spot conditions at Vanimo in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Vanimo during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Vanimo for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Vanimo for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Vanimo.