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Conditions at Caballeros in October
October: Shoulder Season Size and Shifting Winds
October is a month of transition at Caballeros. Average swell height eases slightly to 1.8m (5.9ft), but the period remains at 13.2s, so the ocean is still full of long-period Southern Ocean groundswell. The swell direction is once again heavily SSW (86.6%), with S backing down to 7.4% and SW at 3.3%. The size mix is still excellent: around 74% of waves are in the 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) range, and the 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) class is the single biggest bucket at 46%.
Winds begin to moderate. S drops to 36.6%, SSW holds at 38.6%, and SW increases to 16.7%, but wind speeds remain mostly light. Ideal offshore winds are still rare at 2%, though the first signs of the spring-summer transition can bring occasional calmer spells. Water temp is at its annual minimum of 15.2°C, air temp averages 17.1°C, and there is no meaningful rain. October offers late-season size with the hope of cleaner conditions just around the corner.
Average Spot conditions at Caballeros in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Caballeros during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Caballeros for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Caballeros for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Caballeros.