Conditions at Mabuntok in January
January: The Northeast Monsoon at Full Roar
January is dominated by the Amihan, with strong high pressure over Siberia driving cold surges into the Philippine Sea. The swell roses tell the story: ENE accounts for 60.4 percent of the wave energy, NE adds 34.8 percent, and the average swell height sits at 4ft (1.3m) with a period of 9.4s. That is a solid, rideable combination for Mabuntok, as both NE and ENE are inside the optimal swell window. The catch is the wind. The same monsoon flow produces NE/ENE winds 55.1 percent of the time, and adding N/NNE pushes the onshore total past two-thirds. Offshore S/SW/WSW days barely register, with only 5 percent ideal wind. When a cold surge relaxes and winds turn light, the surf is actually good - 3-4ft (1-1.2m), lined up and powerful - but those windows are rare. Air temperatures hover near 26.7°C, water is a warm 27.6°C, and frequent rain (16.9 mm/day) keeps everything humid and active.
Average Spot conditions at Mabuntok in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Mabuntok during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Mabuntok for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Mabuntok for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Mabuntok.