Conditions at Nazare in October
October: The Giant Wakes Up
October is when the North Atlantic starts waking up. Average swell height jumps to 6-7ft (1.8-2.1m) and period rises to 11.4 seconds, a clear sign that the autumn storm track is reawakening. Swell direction broadens out: NW still leads at 35.4 percent, WNW at 24.6 percent, NNW at 11.1 percent, W at 8.3 percent, and importantly there is a slight increase in WSW (2.4 percent) and SW (0.8 percent) swells. These south-of-west components are excellent at Nazare because the beach faces WSW. Ideal offshore wind jumps to 45 percent, with the NNW wind down to 22.4 percent and more frequent E/ESE/SE flow. Water temp is comfortable at 18.1°C, air temps average 17.7°C, and rainfall picks up to 2.87 mm/day. October is the beginning of the real season, including the first serious XXL days.
Average Spot conditions at Nazare in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Nazare during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Nazare for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Nazare for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Nazare.