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Conditions at Cape St Francis in October
October: Directional Crossroads and the Return of E Swell
October is a pivotal month. The average swell has dropped to 9ft (2.8m), period 11.1 seconds, and ideal wind is 25 percent - still limited, but the E swell percentage reaches its annual peak at 2.7 percent. That E window is the key for this NE-facing beach, and it becomes more frequent as spring progresses. Swell direction continues to be dominated by SW at 11.6 percent and SSW at 10.2 percent, with more S and SE angles filling in. Winds are split between the strengthening E/ENE flow and the W/SW offshore flank, with W 15.6 percent, WSW 19.1 percent, and SW 5.9 percent. Water warms to 17.3°C, air to 17.4°C, and rain rises to 1.61 mm/day. October can serve up some of the best windows of the year when an E-oriented swell aligns with a light westerly breeze.
Average Spot conditions at Cape St Francis in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cape St Francis during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cape St Francis for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cape St Francis for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cape St Francis.