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Conditions at Elands Bay in October
October: Spring Cleanup and Building Swell
October can be a sneaky-good month at Elands Bay. Average wave height slips to 1.3m (4.3ft), and average period falls slightly to 11.8s, but the SW/WSW swell directions are still strong: 56.6% from SW and 34.0% from WSW. The 1-1.5m (3-5ft) class dominates, while 1.5-2m (5-6.5ft) waves remain a common bonus. In the early part of the month, winter groundswell can still fire during a good window; by late October, the summer pattern is close.
Wind quality drops to 29%, with fresh S and SSW winds taking over. That is often a cross-offshore breeze, but it can be strong enough to create lumpy conditions. Air temperatures are on the rise at 16.6°C, water temperature warms to 15.4°C, and rainfall falls to 0.57mm/day. Dawn patrols with a light southeast offshore wind are the go-to strategy as spring transitions into summer.
Average Spot conditions at Elands Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Elands Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Elands Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Elands Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Elands Bay.