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Conditions at Muizenberg in October
October: The Cape Doctor Takes Hold
October is when the summer wind machine begins to dominate the Cape Peninsula. Average swell height eases to around 8ft (2.4m) and period shortens to 11.6s, but there are still strong SW (20.0%), SSW (15.7%), S (10.3%), WSW (7.3%) and SSE (4.7%) pulses generated by dying winter fronts. The problem is increasingly onshore: SSE (24.6%), SE (21.1%), S (11.0%) and SSW (6.4%) combine for over 60% of the wind, while NNW (6.6%) and NW (5.3%) fade. The ideal rating drops to 16%. Water temp has climbed back to 15.9°C, air temp to 15.6°C, and rain is down to 1.53 mm/day. You can still find fun morning waves, especially with a light NW breeze, but you will be watching the buoys and waiting for the south-easterly to ease.
Average Spot conditions at Muizenberg in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Muizenberg during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Muizenberg for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Muizenberg for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Muizenberg.