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Conditions at Still Bay in October
October: The SE Trade Returns
October is the reversal point, and the SE trade regime starts to reassert itself across the Western Cape. Average swell height is still a healthy 2.1m (7ft), but the period drops to 10.8s - a hint that more local windswell is mixing into the S/SSW groundswell. Directionally, SSW (22.8%), SW (16.5%), S (12.5%), SSE (9.5%) and SE (9.8%) all remain in the mix, so the wave potential is far from zero. The problem is the wind: E and ESE now combine for 29.2%, and the ideal wind percentage sinks back to 22%. Late spring afternoons on Still Bay will be dominated by a strong cross-onshore SE sea breeze, making conditions much more difficult to read. Dawn hours are the play - an early N/NNW land breeze can still groom those groundswell lines into clean, punchy waves before the trades switch on.
Average air temperature climbs to 17.0°C, water temp is 17.0°C, and rainfall increases to 1.03mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at Still Bay in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Still Bay during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Still Bay for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Still Bay for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Still Bay.