Conditions at Los Patos in October
October: The Season Turns the Corner
October is when the North Atlantic starts to roar back to life. Average swell height rises to 5ft (1.5m) and average period to 11.6s, pushing the surf back into the long-period class. The swell direction is the most favorable of any month: NNW at 52.0%, N at 16.3%, NW at 10.6%, and WNW at 1.8%, meaning more than 80% of the wave energy arrives from the N/NW window. This is the first real taste of winter groundswell, and the 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) plus 6-8ft (2-2.5m) ranges become more common.
Ideal wind is 27%, while NE wind still leads at 23.3%, ENE at 19.4% and E at 9.0%. The saving grace is that autumn frontal passages increasingly shift the wind into the WSW/SW quadrant, creating glassy, offshore conditions for the bigger lines. Air temperature averages a warm 21.9°C, water temperature is still high at 23.7°C, and precipitation increases to 0.77 mm/day. October is a high-value month: autumn warmth with winter swell.
Average Spot conditions at Los Patos in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Los Patos during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Los Patos for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Los Patos for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Los Patos.