Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Aguieira seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during autumn, with the jet stream strengthening and steering a parade of deep extratropical cyclones toward the Iberian Peninsula. From October through March, average swell heights at Aguieira climb to 1.3-1.8m with periods consistently in the 10-13s range. This is prime time for the spot's northwest-facing beach, as a healthy mix of NW, NNW, and WNW ground swells pour in. Winter wind patterns also favor surfers: south to southwest winds (S, SSW, SW) blow offshore roughly 27-31% of the time, grooming clean, lined-up waves. When a negative NAO phase stalls a high over the Azores and lows track south of Iceland, Aguieira can turn on with powerful, long-period swell and crisp offshore breezes – that is when the magic truly happens.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent transitional windows where the Atlantic is stirring but not yet at full strength. Swell heights average 1.0-1.3m with periods around 8.8-9.5s – rideable but lacking the heavy punch of winter. The wind is suitable about 25% of the time, with a mix of south and north regimes. These months can deliver fun sessions, especially in the shoulder days when a late-season storm or early autumn low aligns with light offshore flow. Expect punchy, average-sized surf that's perfect for groveling and shortboard fun.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer brings a classic lull to the Portuguese coast. From May through August, the average swell height drops to a meager 0.8-1.0m and periods shorten to 7.1-8.0s. The dominant swell comes from the northwest quadrant (NW, NNW, W) but at low energy, often producing small, weak waves. To make matters worse, the prevailing north wind regime (N, NNE, NE) blows onshore around 45-55% of the time, adding chop and ruining what little shape exists. Ideal south wind conditions occur only 16-23% of the time. This is the season for longboarding small, groveling waves or taking a break – though the occasional tropical wave or distant low can briefly light things up.

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Conditions at Aguieira in July

July: The Dog Days of Summer

July is the low point of the year for Aguieira, with an average swell height of just 0.8m and period of 7.1s. The swell direction is predominantly WNW (30.0%) and NW (26.5%), but almost all of it is under 1.5m. The short period means waves are fat and sloppy. Wind conditions are the worst of the year, with ideal south wind only 16% of the time. The dominant wind is NNE (28.2%), creating constant onshore chop. When the rare sea breeze switches to SSW (5.7%) or SW (6.0%), the weak swell can be groomed into tiny, fun waves. This is a month for beginners or those willing to accept micro-surf and warm water.

Average Spot conditions at Aguieira in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Aguieira during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Aguieira for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Aguieira for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Aguieira.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size