Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Alibaba seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

The North Atlantic cyclone machine hits full stride from late autumn through winter, feeding the Cape Verde archipelago with consistent, long-period groundswell. While the predominant swell direction at Alibaba is from the north-northeast—less than ideal for this southwest-facing beach—it is during these months that the swell energy is at its peak (average periods of 11-12 seconds, heights 2.0-2.3m). More importantly, the occasional pulse from the NW quadrant (especially in December and January) can wrap around the island's western points, delivering clean, powerful waves when the stars align. Offshore wind frequencies hover between 11% and 21%, but when the NE trade wind lightens or shifts to a pure east component, conditions become truly glassy. This is the window for the rare but memorable session.

Fair Surf Season (March, September, October)

Transitional months see the North Atlantic storm track begin to shift, reducing average swell heights to 1.8-2.2m and periods to 10-11 seconds. The wind regime remains dominated by the NE trades, with ideal offshore conditions occurring 12-38% of the time. However, the swell direction stays stubbornly north-northeast, so the same wrap-dependent surf prevails. March offers slightly better wind consistency, while October sees a noticeable jump in swell period as the autumn storms reload. These months provide the best compromise between decent swell size and workable wind for the patient surfer.

Low Surf Season (April - August)

From spring into early summer, the North Atlantic high-pressure system calcifies, suppressing storm activity and reducing swell heights to 1.4-2.0m with periods dropping below 9 seconds. Even though the NE trade winds blow strong and consistent—especially in July and August when ideal offshore wind tops 48%—the swell is simply too small and short-period to wrap effectively around the island's terrain. The result is a long stretch of flat to tiny, powerless waves that rarely break with any form. Occasional pulses of NW windswell in June offer brief, knee-high relief, but overall this is the time to explore other spots on the island or save the airfare.

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Conditions at Alibaba in May

May: Small Swell, Marginal Surf

May is the heart of the low-swell season. Average height drops to 1.8m and period to 8.7s—windswell territory. An overwhelming 72.9% of swell comes from the NNE, with 15.5% from the north, and no meaningful NW or west component. At these short periods, even if a NW wrap occurs, the waves lack the energy to stand up. Wind remains dominated by the NE trades (68.4% NNE, 23.5% NE), with ideal conditions falling to 7%. The few rideable waves will be knee-to-waist high, weak, and walled. Only a dedicated logs or funboard will get you gliding, and even then the quality is poor. May is best reserved for other water activities or exploring the island's south-facing bays that might catch rare SW swell.

Average Spot conditions at Alibaba in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Alibaba during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Alibaba for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Alibaba for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Alibaba.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size