Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Arica seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

While Arica's exposure to the deep South Pacific guarantees a steady supply of long-period swell, the persistent onshore wind regime keeps quality at a premium. The austral winter months (May through August) see the highest average swell heights (1.8m) and longest periods (up to 13.7s), delivering the most powerful waves of the year. Though the dominant swell direction remains SSW and SW—far from ideal for the WNW-facing beach—the sheer energy can occasionally overcome the constant WSW and W winds, offering more size and punch for the dedicated surfer. This is the window to chase if you are willing to work with wind-affected, yet more substantial, surf.

Fair Surf Season (September - November & March - April)

The shoulder seasons bring a slight drop in average swell height (1.6-1.7m) while periods stay solidly in the 13s. The wind pattern shows little change, with onshore flows from the WSW and W dominating over 90% of the time. However, these transitional months can see a slightly higher frequency of lighter morning wind events before the afternoon onshore breeze kicks in. Combined with the consistent long-period swell, these windows provide the best chance for the most rideable, albeit still angled, waves. Patience and an early alarm are key.

Low Surf Season (December - February)

The austral summer delivers the smallest average swell heights (1.5m) and the shortest periods (around 12.6s). Swell continues to come from the sub-optimal SSW and SW directions, and the wind relentlessly blows from the WSW and W (bad directions) over 85% of the time. The resulting surf is typically small, grovelly at best, and often reduced to choppy, messy conditions by the constant onshore breeze. This is the least reliable period for surf at Arica. While a rare combination of a slightly westerly swell and lighter easterly land breeze could salvage a session, the overall outlook is minimal.

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Conditions at Arica in October

October: Swell Recedes, Wind Persists

October sees the first notable decrease in average swell height to 1.7m, while period holds at 13.4s. Swell direction continues the trend of more SSW (47.0%) relative to SW (49.9%). Wind remains the dominant constraint: W (51.3%) and WSW (44.8%) blow onshore nearly constantly. The arrival of spring brings slightly lighter wind in the mornings, but the afternoons remain blown out. The swell is still solid, but the decreasing size and persistent onshore wind mean quality is poor. October is a transitional month—the swell is stepping down from winter highs, and the wind hasn't relented. Expect fun-sized, wind-affected waves, with the occasional morning glass-off offering the best chance for a clean session. It's a month for the persistent surfer who doesn't mind rough conditions.

Average Spot conditions at Arica in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Arica during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Arica for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Arica for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Arica.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size