Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Burleigh Heads seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The winter months along the Gold Coast bring a consistent pattern of high-pressure systems migrating across the Great Australian Bight, generating a steady stream of cool, offshore southwesterly winds. At Burleigh Heads, this translates into the highest percentage of clean conditions, with offshore winds blowing between 39% and 43% of the time. While the dominant swell direction shifts more south (ESE to SE) during this period, reducing the frequency of direct E to NE swell, the longer average wave periods (8.5-8.9s) mean that when the swell does arrive from a favorable quadrant, it offers punchy, well-formed waves. The average wave heights hover around 1.0m, providing fun-sized to solid surf, often with rippable peaks. This is the go-to season for consistent, groomed conditions, especially from May through July when the offshore wind window is at its peak.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

The shoulder months of April and September act as transitional periods, where the trade-off between swell quality and wind consistency reaches a more balanced middle ground. In April, offshore winds blow 28% of the time, paired with a 46% occurrence of optimal E to NE swell directions. September sees offshore winds 29% of the time with 58% optimal swell from the northeast quadrant. The average wave periods are respectable at 8.6s in April and 7.8s in September, with average heights around 1.0m. These months often deliver solid sessions, particularly when a late-season cyclone in the Coral Sea or a strong mid-latitude low sends groundswell into the region before the winds shift to a favorable angle. It is a good window for those willing to check the forecast closely.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

The summer and early autumn months from October through March are characterized by the dominance of the trade wind regime, with the SE to E winds blowing consistently onshore at Burleigh Heads. The offshore wind percentage plummets to between 11% and 20%, meaning the optimal NE-facing beach is often riddled with bumpy, wind-affected conditions. Although this is the time of year when the swell direction is most favorable (with up to 69% of swell arriving from the E to NE quadrant in December) and average wave heights are in the 1.0-1.2m range, the onshore winds wreak havoc on wave quality. The lower wave periods (7.3-8.0s) further contribute to weaker, less powerful surf. Occasional tropical cyclones or strong trade-wind pulses can produce fun waves, but the persistent onshore flow makes this the most challenging season for clean surf at Burleigh. Early morning glass-offs are your best bet.

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Conditions at Burleigh Heads in January

January: Summer Solstice Swell and Onshore Grind

January is deep in the heart of the Australian summer, and the dominant feature at Burleigh Heads is the relentless onshore flow. Offshore winds from the SW to W quadrant are present only 11% of the time, while the prevailing winds are from the south through east quadrant, with SE (16.1%), SSE (13.3%), and ESE (13.1%) leading the charge. These winds blow directly onshore at Burleigh, chopping up the wave face. On the plus side, the swell direction is highly favorable: a whopping 66% of the swell arrives from the optimal NNE through E directions, with the biggest portion from due east (39.3%) and east-northeast (16.3%). The average wave height sits at a fun 1.1m, but the short period of 8.0s means the waves are often average and less powerful. When a rare subtropical system drifts south or a strong high sets up in the Tasman, a brief window of offshore winds and clean E swell can produce good waves, but those days are few and far between. Patience is key in January.

Average Spot conditions at Burleigh Heads in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Burleigh Heads during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Burleigh Heads for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Burleigh Heads for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Burleigh Heads.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size