Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cacimba do Padre seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (January - April)

Summer and early autumn deliver the most promising conditions at Cacimba do Padre. Average swell heights hover around 1.7m with periods of 11-12s, offering the longest, most powerful groundswell of the year. While the dominant easterly trade winds still blow, this is the window with the highest frequency of southerly offshore winds (S, SSW, SW), peaking at 48% ideal in April. When a cold front pushes through the South Atlantic, it flips the wind to a clean offshore direction and can also generate rare northwest swell that lights up the left-hand point. The combination of long-period energy and occasional glassy mornings makes this the prime time for quality surf. Despite the majority of swell coming from the east, the few days with north or northwest swell are world-class.

Fair Surf Season (May & December)

May and December serve as transitional months. May sees a dramatic shift to SSE and SE swell as the trade wind regime strengthens, with average periods dropping to 10.6s. Ideal wind drops to 34%, but there are still sporadic windows when the trades ease and southerly breezes appear. December marks the beginning of the recovery: periods climb back above 11s, and a small but significant increase in north-NNW swell (2% of total) offers a glimmer of hope. Surfable days exist, but consistency is low.

Low Surf Season (June - November)

Winter and spring are dominated by the relentless southeast trade winds. From June through November, onshore ESE to SE winds blow over 95% of the time, leaving the surface choppy and bumpy. Swell periods average 9.6-10.0s, indicating short-period, wind-driven sea state. Swell heights still average 1.8-2.0m, but the lack of offshore wind and the abundance of east-southeast swell (which is side-onshore for this NNW-facing beach) make these months largely a write-off for quality surfing. July, August, September, and October are the worst, with ideal wind percentages below 8% and often 1-2%. Only the most desperate and dedicated will find anything clean during this extended low season.

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Conditions at Cacimba do Padre in February

February: Peak Windows for Offshore Wind

February sees a slight improvement in wind conditions, with 37% ideal (best of the early year), as southerly winds become more frequent. Swell period remains long at 11.4s and height averages 1.7m. Swell directions are similar to January – ENE and E dominate (19% and 22% respectively) with NNE still providing 12% and NNW 3%. The trades blow from ESE 49% of the time, but the increased frequency of S to SW winds (up to 0.2% from S, not much but enough to open windows) makes February one of the most reliable months for clean sessions. Look for periods when high pressure sets up south of the island, directing cool, offshore air onto the beach. Those days deliver smooth, powerful waves.

Average Spot conditions at Cacimba do Padre in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cacimba do Padre during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cacimba do Padre for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cacimba do Padre for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cacimba do Padre.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size