Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cactus seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

For Cactus, the winter months from May through August deliver the most consistent and high-quality surf. The Southern Ocean is at its most active, churning out frequent, long-period SW and SSW groundswells that hit this south-west facing beach with maximum efficiency. Average wave heights sit in the 1.8-2.0m range, with periods often exceeding 13s, translating to powerful, lined-up sets that are known to light up the reefs and points along this stretch of coast. Critically, this period also sees the highest percentage of offshore NE to E winds, driven by the northward migration of the subtropical ridge and the positioning of slow-moving highs in the Tasman Sea. While the wind is never perfect every day, windows of clean conditions are much more frequent, making this the prime time to score Cactus at its best. Look for days with a solid SW swell and a morning or evening NE breeze for truly memorable sessions.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

The shoulder seasons offer a mixed bag of quality swell and challenging wind patterns. March and April still pick up a good share of Southern Ocean groundswells, with solid sizes and long periods in the 12-13s range. However, the ideal offshore wind percentages begin to drop from the winter peak, as the trade wind influence starts to strengthen. You'll find plenty of rideable waves, but may have to hunt for the cleanest corners during the tighter offshore windows. September and October see a resurgence of swell energy as the transition into spring brings renewed storm activity, but winds become more variable with an increasing southerly component. Still, when a strong high parks east of the continent and aligns with a robust SW swell, the quality can be right up there with the best of winter.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

Summer is the most challenging time for consistent surf at Cactus. The swell-generating belts shift south, leading to smaller, less frequent waves – average heights hover around 1.7m but with more variability and shorter periods as the dominant S and SSE swell orientations become more prominent. The real story, however, is the wind. The prevailing south-east trade winds and sea breezes dominate, blowing directly onshore or creating cross-shore chop that mushes out the wave faces. The ideal offshore wind window is at its narrowest, often below 12% frequency. While an occasional tropical interaction or a rare late-season groundswell can produce a fun day, the overall reliability is low. If you're chasing waves in these months, be prepared for early morning glass-offs or look for a different direction that might handle the summer wind regimes better.

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Conditions at Cactus in September

September: Spring Swell, Trade Wind Return

September marks the transition into spring. The swell energy remains high, with an average height of 2.0m and a period of 13.6s. The direction is still heavily weighted to SW (47.6%) and SSW (26.9%), providing plenty of power. However, the wind pattern undergoes a significant shift. The percentage of ideal offshore wind drops to 17%, and the trade wind influence from the SE and SSE quadrants makes a strong comeback. The frequencies of ESE, SE, and SSE winds all increase, often bringing strong onshore conditions. This results in a more mixed bag: you'll still get solid swells, but they are frequently accompanied by a lumpy, cross-shore wind that makes the wave faces less than perfect. The key is to target days with a lighter N or NE flow, often associated with a high passing to the south, to make the most of the remaining groundswell. Many surfers find September to be the last reliable month for solid, punchy waves before the consistent trade winds take full hold.

Average Spot conditions at Cactus in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cactus during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cactus for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cactus for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cactus.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size