Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Canoes seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Pacific stirs to life as autumn deepens, and Canoes begins to see a steady pulse of groundswell. Average wave heights climb to 1.5-1.8m with periods stretching into the 11-13 second range, delivering the most powerful surf of the year. While the dominant swell directions are from the north and east, the occasional S-SW swell can sneak in, aligning perfectly with the beach's SW exposure. Offshore wind conditions (N, NNW, NW, WNW) become more frequent, with ideal wind percentages peaking near 26% in January. This window offers the best chance for clean, lined-up waves, even if the swell direction is often not ideal.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September)

Transition months bring a mix of waning winter energy and building summer patterns. Swell heights hold around 1.4-1.6m with periods of 11-12 seconds, but the consistency drops and wind becomes more variable. April and September see a slight uptick in ideal offshore wind (16-17%), but the dominant swell shifts further east, making it harder to find quality. May offers a brief window of better wind (21%) but the swell remains small and directionally challenged. These months can deliver fun sessions if the right combination of south swell and offshore breeze lines up.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer settles in with a persistent trade wind regime from the ENE and E, dominating over 80% of the time. Ideal offshore wind plummets to just 7-10%, and the swell is almost entirely from the east and southeast, missing Canoes' SW-facing setup altogether. Wave heights hover around 1.5m but with short, weak periods (10-11s) and a choppy, wind-affected texture. This is the slowest stretch of the year, where only the most dedicated will find small, groveling waves under less-than-ideal conditions.

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Conditions at Canoes in May

May: Small Hopes, Shifting Winds

May sees average heights steady at 1.5m and period bouncing back slightly to 11.5s. Swell is almost entirely from the east quadrant: E (27.0%), ESE (15.5%), and ENE (15.9%). The S-SW quadrant delivers only 11.5% combined, mostly small. The wind pattern remains tough, with ENE dominating at 60.3%, but ideal offshore wind improves to 21%. The good news is that spring transitions can bring lighter winds and occasional backing flows from the north. When a south swell slides in with light north wind, the beach can produce fun, rippable waves in the 1-1.5m range. Not a month to set expectations high, but worthy of a check.

Average Spot conditions at Canoes in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Canoes during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Canoes for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Canoes for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Canoes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size