Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Cardoso seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - August)

The austral autumn and winter bring the most consistent and high-quality surf to Cardoso. As the South Atlantic storm track shifts northward, frequent cold fronts generate powerful S to SW swells that wrap directly into the south-facing beach. Simultaneously, post-frontal high-pressure systems deliver clean, offshore winds from the N through NE quadrant. Swell heights average 1.7-2.0m with periods often exceeding 9s, producing punchy to powerful waves. The wind is ideal 26-35% of the time, but the windows of opportunity are crisp and lined up with the best swell.

Fair Surf Season (January - March & September - October)

During the summer months, the South Atlantic subtropical high strengthens, leading to a dominance of ENE to ESE swell from the trade winds. While these swells are frequent and can offer fun-sized waves in the 1-1.5m range, they rarely carry the period or power of the winter swells. Offshore winds from the N to NE quadrant remain common, especially in January-March, with ideal wind percentages in the low 30s. September and October see a transition period: swell heights remain solid (around 2.0m in September) but the wind becomes tricky. Onshore S to SW winds increase as early spring fronts begin to push through, lowering the ideal wind percentage to 21-22%. Still, when the wind does clock around to the north, the surf can be excellent.

Low Surf Season (November - December)

Late spring and early summer represent the most challenging months for surf at Cardoso. The swell direction is dominated by E and ENE windswell, which is poorly aligned with the beach. Average wave periods drop to 8.4-8.6s, producing weaker, more disorganized waves. Ideal offshore wind percentages slip to 22-26%, and onshore winds from the S and SW are more frequent as the summer monsoon pattern sets in. Surfable days are fewer, and the wave quality is often groveling. However, occasional southerly swells can still sneak through if a late-season front dips far enough north.

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Conditions at Cardoso in October

October: Spring Frustrations

October continues the spring pattern with average swell height at 1.8m and period 8.7s. The swell direction is diverse, led by ENE (19.0%) and E (17.7%), with only 9.5% from the S. The wind is challenging: ideal only 22% of the time. NE winds dominate (24.5%) but often blow too strong (20-40kph), while onshore SSW (11.9%) and SW (7.3%) are frequent. The southern swell windows are narrower and often accompanied by winds that shift onshore quickly. When you get a clean day with N winds and a S swell from a late-season storm, it can still be world-class, but those days are gems in a rough month.

Average Spot conditions at Cardoso in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cardoso during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cardoso for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cardoso for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cardoso.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size