Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Carrownisky seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, delivering consistent, powerful swell to Carrownisky's west-facing beach. Average wave heights range from 1.5m in October to a peak of 2.1m in January, with periods often exceeding 12 seconds. This is prime time for juicy, long-period groundswell generated by a parade of extratropical cyclones tracking across the Atlantic. The dominant swell directions — WSW, W, and WNW — align perfectly with the beach's exposure, producing heavy, rippable waves in the 1.5-2.5m range. However, the trade-off is that onshore winds from the same quadrant (SW-W) frequently accompany the storms, creating choppy, blown-out conditions. The ideal offshore wind from the east (NE, ENE, E, ESE) is relatively scarce at 14-17% frequency, so you have to pick your windows carefully. When a high-pressure system settles over Scandinavia or the UK, it can deliver crisp, offshore easterlies that groom the swell into clean, powerful lines. These are the magic days when Carrownisky truly fires.

Fair Surf Season (April - September)

As the North Atlantic storm track weakens in spring and summer, Carrownisky sees a significant drop in both swell height and period. Average heights fall from 1.3m in April to a summer low of 0.9m in July, with periods averaging between 8 and 10.6 seconds. The wave quality shifts towards smaller, punchier surf that still offers fun, rippable waves on a good day. While the swell is less powerful, the wind patterns become more favorable: the frequency of ideal offshore easterlies increases to 22-23% in April and May, and remains moderate through summer (13-17%). This means more clean, glassy sessions with light winds. The dominant swell directions remain in the west-northwest quadrant, but a higher proportion of smaller, shorter-period swell (0.5-1.5m) comes from NNW to NW, which can wrap in but lacks the punch of winter groundswell. Summer also brings the occasional small, fun southwesterly swell. Overall, these months offer good opportunities for groveling on longboards or fish, especially during easterly wind events. It's a fair season that rewards patience and flexibility.

Low Surf Season (July - August)

The heart of summer brings the smallest and weakest swell of the year. Average heights bottom out at 0.9m in July and 1.0m in August, with periods around 8 seconds — at the lower end of the rideable spectrum. Most waves fall in the 0.5-1m range, often from the NW-WNW directions, leading to a lot of smaller, mushy inside waves. Onshore westerly winds dominate (13-14% offshore), so conditions can be messy and choppy unless a lucky easterly breeze lines up. This is the low season for serious surfing; expect micro-swell that needs a longboard or a groveler to get any juice. However, the beach can still offer the occasional playful wave when a summer low pressure sends in a pulse of longer-period swell. The wind statistics show a high frequency of light winds (0-10 kph) from variable directions, so dawn patrols with clean lines are possible but rare. For most surfers, this is a time to enjoy the beach and save energy for the autumn ramp-up.

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Conditions at Carrownisky in March

March: The Transition Month with Quality Potential

March brings a slight easing of the winter fury, with average swell dropping to 1.7m and period to 12.0s. The swell direction distribution remains favorable: W (21.7%), WNW (18.4%), and WSW (14.8%) are the primary contributors, still producing plenty of solid, punchy waves. The percentage of ideal offshore wind ticks up to 17%, offering more frequent clean windows. The wave height histogram shows a shift towards the 1-1.5m range becoming more common, but 1.5-2.5m still occurs often. This is a transitional month where the North Atlantic storm track begins to weaken, but the residual winter groundswell can combine with occasional spring easterlies to deliver excellent conditions. The water is still cold, but the quality is high — especially when a slow-moving low pressure sets up west of Ireland and pumps in consistent W-NW swell with light east winds.

Average Spot conditions at Carrownisky in March

Swell history for March

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for March

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Carrownisky during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Carrownisky for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Carrownisky for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Carrownisky.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size