Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cotton Trees seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - November & May - June)

At Cotton Trees, the surf is a game of patience, heavily dictated by the wind. The spot faces west, but the dominant swell train throughout the year rolls in from the S and SSW. This is a direct result of persistent extratropical storms in the South Atlantic generating long-period groundswells. However, the key to quality lies in the wind. The best surf season splits into two windows: October-November and May-June, when the percentage of offshore winds (from NW, WNW, W, WSW) peaks. During these months, you can score clean, lined-up waves, often in the fun, rippable 1-1.5m range with periods averaging 11-12 seconds. It's not a world-class setup, but when the trade winds ease and the high pressure sets up correctly, Cotton Trees offers surprisingly good, uncrowded waves.

Fair Surf Season (December - April)

The fair season spans the northern hemisphere winter and early spring. Swell heights are smaller, averaging 0.9-1.1m, and periods are still decent (10.7-11.8s), but the wind is less reliable. Offshore wind percentages drop to between 7% and 16%, meaning you'll have to pick your windows carefully. The swell direction remains stubbornly from the S and SSW, wrapping into the beach but often accompanied by onshore breezes from the SW-W quadrant. The good news is that the long periods (10-11s) can still produce punchy, rideable waves, especially early in the morning when local thermal effects can temporarily clean things up.

Low Surf Season (July - September)

The low surf season is dominated by the West African monsoon and a strong, persistent onshore flow. This period sees the largest average swell heights of the year, peaking at 1.5m in August, but the wind is almost always blowing from the SW to WNW – directly onshore at Cotton Trees. The ideal wind percentage plummets to 4-13%, ruining wave quality. Expect choppy, messy conditions with short-period swell mixing in. While the South Atlantic still pumps energy into the coast, the constant wind creates a bumpy, blown-out surface. This is the time to either travel, take a break, or be content with windbattered, short rides when the stars align for a rare lull.

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Conditions at Cotton Trees in December

December: A Solid Close to the Year

December wraps up the year with a good mix. Ideal wind percentages are at a healthy 29%, still well above the summer months. Swell height drops to 0.9m with a period of 10.6s – the smallest and shortest of the peak season, but still offering small, fun-sized waves for groveling. The swell is dominated by S (84.3%) and SSW (14.8%). Wind directions are more varied than in November, with a notable increase in northerly components (N 4.8%, NNE 3.7%) which are also offshore. The easterly winds (E, ESE, SE, SSE) still make up a significant portion (around 11.4% combined). The onshore flow from SW-WSW is present but not overwhelming (33.4% combined). December provides a good end to the year, with plenty of surfable days if you are prepared for smaller waves and some wind variability. It's a great month for longboards or funshapes.

Average Spot conditions at Cotton Trees in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cotton Trees during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cotton Trees for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cotton Trees for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cotton Trees.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size