Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

El Barco seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (September - November)

The North Atlantic begins to shift gears as summer fades, and for El Barco, the window from September through November delivers the most consistent blend of quality swell and favorable winds. During these months, the trade wind belt relaxes enough to allow more frequent passages of cold fronts and low-pressure systems, which send pulses of NNE and NE swell toward the island. At the same time, the percentage of offshore wind (from the S, SSW, and SW quadrants) peaks—particularly in September and October—creating clean, glassy conditions when the swell lines up. Wave heights average 1.3-1.6m with periods climbing to 8.8-9.3s, meaning fun, rippable surf with the occasional pumping set. This is when the stars align for El Barco’s best waves.

Fair Surf Season (December - May)

From December through May, the North Atlantic roars to life with powerful extratropical storms generating larger, longer-period swell. Wave heights average 1.4-1.7m and periods often reach 9.4s, bringing solid, punchy waves. However, the dominant wind pattern shifts to strong easterly trades (E, ESE, SE), which blow directly onshore for this NNW-facing beach. This creates choppy, bumpy conditions unless you catch a rare window of lighter winds or a southerly breeze. While the swell is definitely there, the quality is often compromised by the onshore flow. The spring months (April-May) see a slight uptick in ideal wind percentages (up to 52% in May), but the swell also backs off in size and period. Still, for the patient surfer, there are decent waves to be had—just be ready to battle the wind.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer in the Caribbean is dominated by the Azores High and the relentless easterly trade winds. For El Barco, this means small, weak, and predominately east-swell (E and ENE) that rarely breaks with any power on this north-facing stretch. Average wave heights drop to 1.2-1.3m and periods fall to 7.3-7.5s, resulting in choppy, groveling conditions at best. The wind is almost constantly from the E, ESE, or SE, keeping the surface messy and bumpy. While the percentage of ideal wind reaches a respectable 46-57% (thanks to occasional light and variable mornings), the lack of consistent, quality swell makes this the low season for surfing. Unless a passing tropical system throws some long-period energy into the mix, it's best to take a summer vacation from the lineup.

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Conditions at El Barco in August

August: Still Small, but a Glimmer of Hope in Wind Statistics

August remains firmly in the summer lull with average swell height 1.2m and period 7.5s. Swell direction is still dominated by E (68.5%) and ENE (26.0%), though there are a few more NE and NNE pulses (2.7% and 0.5% respectively). Wave quality is poor to marginal—small, weak, and short-period. However, the wind shows a slight improvement: ideal wind percentage reaches 57%, the second highest of the year so far. This is due to a higher frequency of lighter winds from the SSE (4.1%) and even some S (0.5%). The trade winds (ESE 41.0%, E 29.2%) are still the dominant player, but the lighter morning winds can occasionally provide clean, small surf. August is a transitional month—still low season, but if you’re lucky, you might catch a small, glassy morning session before the wind picks up.

Average Spot conditions at El Barco in August

Swell history for August

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for August

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Barco during August. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Barco for your next trip in August.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Barco for August. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Barco.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size