Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Guajataca seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - March)

The North Atlantic winter pattern brings the highest likelihood of northern swell to Guajataca, but don't expect any fireworks. Average wave heights hover around 0.7-0.8m with periods of 6.8-7.0s, offering small, rideable waves when the rare N or NNW pulse arrives. The trade-off is persistent ENE winds that blow over 30% of the time, often exceeding 20kph, creating side-onshore chop that messes up the surface. Offshore southerly winds (S, SSW, SW) occur only 11-18% of the time, so scoring clean conditions requires a perfect window between fronts. When it all comes together—a light SSW breeze and a short fetch from the north—Guajataca delivers fun, groveling waves on a longboard. This is as good as it gets here.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & October - November)

As the hurricane season approaches and departs, the trade winds ease slightly and the percentage of ideal southerly wind increases to 14-23%. However, swell energy drops as northern hemisphere storms become scarce. Wave heights settle at 0.6-0.7m with periods of 6.1-6.5s. The dominant swell shifts almost entirely to ESE and SE (80-90% of total), which wrap around the island but struggle to produce any power at this north-facing beach. Occasional E or ESE pulses can offer weak, rippable waves if the wind lays down, but it's mostly flat or gutless. Transitional months are best for low expectations and a log.

Low Surf Season (June - September)

Summer is the doldrums for Guajataca. The trade winds hammer the coast from the ENE and E, blowing over 40% of the time at moderate to strong speeds. Offshore wind drops to 8-17% frequency, and swell height bottoms out at 0.6-0.7m with periods of 6.0-6.3s. Almost 100% of the swell comes from the ESE and SE, directions that are completely blocked by the island's landmass. The rare exception is a tropical storm or hurricane tracking south of the island, which can send long-period south swell that wraps around but is often accompanied by dangerous winds and currents. For most intents and purposes, June through September is flat, choppy, and best spent on the south shore.

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Conditions at Guajataca in October

October: Transitional Hope

October offers the second-highest ideal wind percent at 21%, with southerly winds (S+SSW+SW) totaling 6.2%. Average swell height remains low at 0.6m with a period of 6.1s. Northern swell starts to creep back, with NNW at 0.3% and N at 0.3%—still tiny. ESE (53.8%) and SE (31.7%) dominate, but there is a modest increase in SSE (2.9%) and S (1.2%) swells. The wind pattern shows a slight relaxation of the trades: ENE (26.2%) and E (33.7%) are still strong, but lighter winds are more common. The combination of cleaner wind and occasional south or southeast swell can produce small, rippable waves on a good day. It's the best month for a grovel session, but expectations should be low.

Average Spot conditions at Guajataca in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Guajataca during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Guajataca for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Guajataca for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Guajataca.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size