Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Guethary seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic swings into full production mode during these six months, delivering a steady diet of powerful, long-period swell to the NW-facing shores of Guethary. Average wave heights hover between 1.3m and 1.8m, with periods consistently above 11s and often reaching 13s, putting the spot firmly into the pumping and firing categories. The climatalogical dip in the Azores High allows low-pressure systems to barrel across the basin, sending trains of W, WNW, NW and NNW swell straight into the Bay of Biscay. Offshore wind windows – driven by continental high pressure or the eastern flank of passing lows – occur 41-50% of the time, perfect for grooming those long, clean lines. December stands out as the statistical peak, but every month from October through March offers ample opportunity for classic Guethary barrels.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent the shoulder months, where the ocean still holds respectable swell but the consistency and power begin to wane. Average swell heights drop to 1.1-1.2m, periods shorten to 10.6-11.0s, and ideal wind frequency falls to around 29%. Swell directions remain dominated by WNW and NW – the bread and butter for this spot – but the mix is peppered with more small, weak pulses. Spring and autumn transition patterns often bring fickle conditions: some days deliver punchy, rideable waves, others are plagued by onshore breezes from the W or NW. For the patient surfer, these months can still yield solid sessions, especially when a late-season storm sneaks through and a high-pressure ridge parks itself over the continent, producing offshore flow.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer at Guethary is a classic tale of diminished energy. From May through August, average swell heights bottom out at 0.9-1.0m and periods slump to 9.0-10.1s, often producing small, fun-sized or groveling conditions. The dominant swell still arrives from the NW and WNW, but the fetch is generally weak – either from distant tropical systems or lightweight Atlantic lows. More critically, the percentage of ideal offshore wind plummets to 15-23%, as the prevailing regime shifts to spring/summer westerlies and sea breezes that ruin the wave face. While the occasional long-period groundswell can sneak in from a rogue storm, the day-to-day reality is small, wind-affected surf. This is the season to save your energy, explore other spots, or wait for the autumn equinox to reignite the North Atlantic machine.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Guethary in May

May: Summer Calm, Small Windows

By May, the seasonal transition is well underway toward the summer doldrums. Average swell height drops to 1.0m and period slips to 10.1s, placing most days in the small, fun-sized category. The swell direction is overwhelmingly NW (50.1%) and WNW (40.8%), but the height distribution is heavily skewed toward the lower end – 68.5% of all waves are 0.5-1.5m, with virtually nothing over 2m. This means you’ll need a log or a high-performance groveler to make the most of the weaker pulses. The wind becomes the bigger issue: ideal offshore conditions fall to just 23% of the time. Westerly winds (W, WNW, NW) combine for nearly 43% of all observations, often ruining the surface. The late spring thermal low pattern can generate afternoon sea breezes that further degrade conditions. Early morning sessions offer the best chance, especially when a weak cold front drops into the Mediterranean and a high-pressure wedge forms over France, creating light offshore flow. Expect small but clean ridable waves on the good days, and don’t be surprised to see flat spells.

Average Spot conditions at Guethary in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Guethary during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Guethary for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Guethary for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Guethary.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size