Isla Chepillo - surf spot statistics

Isla Chepillo in Panama experiences consistent ground swell throughout the year, with the highest probability occurring from April to May (68-72%) and August (67%). The swell is predominantly ground-driven, with minimal wind swell influence, ensuring cleaner wave conditions. However, the mean swell size remains modest at around 0.5-0.6 meters, indicating mostly small to medium waves. Wind conditions are challenging year-round, with the highest likelihood of favorable winds occurring in April (29% good conditions) and the lowest in January-February (14-16%). Despite this, strong onshore winds (bad conditions) dominate, averaging 71-86% probability across all months, peaking in January-February. The best months for surfing are likely April and May due to the highest ground swell consistency and slightly better wind chances (27-29% favorable), though surfers should expect frequent wind interference. Late-year months like November and December see a drop in ground swell (51-57%) and persistent poor winds, making them less ideal. Overall, Isla Chepillo is a spot with reliable but small swells, best surfed in mid-year months when ground swell peaks and wind conditions are marginally better, though wind remains a limiting factor.

In March, Isla Chepillo experiences generally small but surfable waves, with an average swell height of 0.6m and a long-period swell averaging 13.7s, indicating well-spaced and cleaner waves when they arrive. The dominant swell directions are from the S and SSW, which account for most of the waves in the 0.5-1m range (45.43% and 16.18%, respectively). Few waves exceed 1.5m, making conditions suitable for beginner to intermediate surfers, though advanced surfers may find the size underwhelming. Wind conditions are less favorable, with only 22% of the time offering ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds. The most frequent wind directions are N and NNW, often blowing at 10-30kph, which can create choppy surface conditions. Overall, March is a mixed month for surfing here—expect small, clean waves on rare windless or light wind days, but frequently compromised by onshore winds. Pick your sessions carefully, focusing on early mornings when winds are lighter.