Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Katahama seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March - May)

Spring at Katahama brings the most consistent combination of favorable swell and offshore winds. As the Siberian high weakens and the North Pacific storm track becomes more active, pulses of mid-period swell from the ESE and SE quadrants become dominant. Ideal winds from W and WNW blow 28-31% of the time, sculpting clean, rippable waves in the 1-2m range with periods averaging 7-8s. This is the window to score punchy, fun surf along the sandbars.

Fair Surf Season (June - August & November - February)

Summer sees a shift to more southerly and SSW swell that can wrap into the beach but often lacks the angle and power of true ESE groundswell. Offshore winds remain relatively common (28-33% of the time), but the predominant swell direction is less optimal. In winter, powerful offshore winds from W and NW dominate (ideal wind 24-28%), but the swell is mostly from W and WNW – a direction that doesn't favor this east-facing stretch. Still, when a SSE or E component sneaks in, the combination can be epic. Fair season surf requires patience and flexibility.

Low Surf Season (September & October)

Early autumn is a frustrating period for Katahama. The North Pacific churns out some of the most powerful, long-period swells of the year, with E and ESE groundswell dominating the averages (heights 1.3-1.4m, periods 8.8-9.2s). However, the wind patterns are brutally unfavorable – a prevailing NE and ENE monsoon blows strong and onshore over 50% of the time, trashing wave quality. Only 23% of the time do we see offshore winds. When the stars align, the waves can be pumping, but the low consistency makes it a gamble.

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Conditions at Katahama in January

January: Winter's Offshore Promise

The North Pacific winter monsoon is in full swing, driving strong W and WNW winds that blow offshore an impressive 66% of the time (ideal wind 24%). However, the predominant swell is from WNW (34%) and W (23%) – directions that don't favor this east-facing beach. The average wave height sits at 1.3m with a short period of 6.6s, making for punchy but often messy conditions. Your best bet is to wait for the infrequent E (8%) or ESE (4%) swell to align with those clean offshore winds – only then do we see fun, rippable waves.

Average Spot conditions at Katahama in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Katahama during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Katahama for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Katahama for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Katahama.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size