Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Keramas seasonal overview

Keramas in Indonesia is a world-class right-hand reef break that offers consistent, powerful waves with a strong emphasis on ground swells throughout the year. The best months for surfing at Keramas are typically from May to September, when the swell is most reliable, and the wave size is at its peak. During these months, ground swells dominate with 97-99% consistency, and the mean swell size ranges from 1.7m to 2.0m, providing hollow, barreling waves that advanced surfers seek. However, wind conditions during this period are less favorable, with bad winds (onshore or cross-shore) occurring 92-96% of the time, which can sometimes make the waves messy, though the power of the swell often overrides this. The early season months of January and February also offer solid conditions, with ground swells at 88% and slightly better wind conditions (49-53% good winds). The swell size averages 1.5m, making it more accessible but still high-performance. March and December are transitional months with decent swell consistency (90-93% ground swells) but increasingly unreliable winds (bad winds at 61%). April and November see strong ground swells (96-97%) but suffer from poor wind conditions (81-83% bad winds), reducing surf quality. The worst months for favorable wind conditions are May through October, when good winds drop below 10%, but the sheer power and consistency of the swell still attract experienced surfers willing to trade wind quality for wave size and shape. Overall, if you prioritize clean, powerful waves, the peak season from May to September is ideal despite the wind challenges, while January and February offer a good balance of swell and slightly more favorable winds.

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Conditions at Keramas in July

In July, Keramas offers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.0m and a strong period of 14.9s, producing powerful, well-formed waves. The dominant swell directions are from the SSW and SW, with the majority of waves ranging between 1.5-2.5m, providing ideal conditions for intermediate to advanced surfers. Wind conditions, however, can be challenging; ESE and SE winds prevail, often blowing at 20-30kph (25.87% and 18.55% occurrence respectively), which may create cross-shore or onshore chop. Only 5% of the time do winds align favorably for clean surf. The best sessions come when SW swells combine with lighter winds, offering groomed, hollow waves—particularly in the 2-2.5m range (20.65% from SSW). Expect variable conditions, with peak swell energy arriving from the southern quadrant, making July a solid but occasionally wind-affected month. Advanced surfers will find the most reward, especially on days when the wind eases.

Average Spot conditions at Keramas in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Keramas during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Keramas for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Keramas for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Keramas.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size